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Summary

Observing significantly higher open rates for new welcome email templates on Gmail, even with consistent subject lines and click-through rates, can be a perplexing scenario. While initial suspicions might point towards bot activity, expert consensus often shifts the focus to Gmail's sophisticated filtering mechanisms. The most probable explanation is that your previous template may have been consistently directed to promotional or bulk folders, while the new template, for the time being, is successfully landing in the primary inbox.

What email marketers say

Email marketers frequently encounter puzzling shifts in open rates, leading them to initially suspect factors like spam bot activity. However, when observing significant and localized improvements, particularly with new templates impacting Gmail performance, discussions quickly pivot to the nuances of inbox placement and the evolving reputation of email content within various ISP filters.

Marketer view

A marketer from Email Geeks notes that they tested a few new templates for their welcome email and are seeing super high open rates for the new versions versus the original, even with the same subject line. They also reported higher CTRs compared to the original, despite one of the test versions having a very similar layout. Conversions, however, remained more steady, leading them to question if this might be due to spam bot activity.

22 Dec 2020 - Email Geeks

Marketer view

A marketer from Shopify indicates that a high open rate serves as a strong signal, showing that a sender's subject line and timing are effective, and that their audience is genuinely interested in receiving and engaging with their communications.

22 Apr 2025 - Shopify

What the experts say

Email deliverability experts generally do not consider bot activity the primary reason for a sudden, marked increase in open rates for new email templates, especially when the impact is concentrated at a major Internet Service Provider (ISP) like Gmail. Instead, their analysis points to changes in how Gmail's sophisticated filtering algorithms perceive and route the new content, leading to improved inbox placement.

Expert view

A deliverability expert from Email Geeks states that bot activity would not be their initial consideration when observing unexpectedly high open rates for new email templates, especially if other engagement metrics remain stable.

22 Dec 2020 - Email Geeks

Expert view

A deliverability expert from Word to the Wise advises a detailed analysis of email patterns broken down by recipient Mail Exchanger (MX) or recipient domain, as well as an examination of the IP addresses associated with both opens and clicks, to understand the true source of engagement.

22 Mar 2023 - Word to the Wise

What the documentation says

Official documentation and research on email deliverability, particularly concerning major Internet Service Providers (ISPs) like Gmail, consistently underscore the critical role of user engagement and content quality in determining inbox placement. Welcome emails inherently benefit from high subscriber anticipation, which contributes to their typically superior engagement metrics and higher likelihood of reaching the primary inbox.

Technical article

Documentation from BDOW! emphasizes that emails will achieve higher open rates if they consistently land in the primary inbox, as opposed to being filtered into the promotions or updates tabs in Gmail, or worse, the spam folder.

04 Apr 2024 - BDOW!

Technical article

Documentation from Selzy Blog reports that the average open rate for a welcome email stands impressively at 63.91%, according to their latest findings, highlighting the inherently strong engagement these initial emails receive.

01 Sep 2021 - Selzy Blog

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