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Summary

Seeing unexpected spam spikes in Google Postmaster Tools (GPT), especially on days with no active sending, can be perplexing for email marketers. This phenomenon often leads to questions about data accuracy and the true health of one's email program. It's important to understand that GPT data has a certain lag and can be influenced by various factors beyond immediate sending activity, including historical email engagement and how Google calculates spam rates based on delivered mail to active users, not just opens. These spikes, while alarming, may not always indicate a current deliverability crisis if other metrics remain stable. Understanding the underlying causes is key to maintaining a healthy sender reputation and optimizing your email deliverability efforts.

What email marketers say

Email marketers often express confusion and concern when Google Postmaster Tools (GPT) displays spam spikes on days with little to no sending activity. Many have reported similar experiences, particularly observing specific spike percentages like 7.1%, which can lead to a perceived drop in domain reputation. While these spikes can be alarming, many marketers advise against overreacting to isolated incidents, emphasizing that real-time deliverability and long-term trends are more critical indicators. The consensus points to potential issues like delayed complaints on old emails or the impact of low sending volumes magnifying minor complaints.

What email marketers say

Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks reports the exact same issue: a huge spike in spam rate on a specific date (Jan 18), even though no emails were sent from that domain for three weeks. This also occurred on Jan 4 and Nov 13, leading to a drop in domain reputation from high to medium, which has persisted.

21 Jan 2021 - Email Geeks

Marketer view

Marketer from Email Geeks indicates that their domain reputation also dropped to medium despite no sending activity. They find it odd but acknowledge the information is helpful.

21 Jan 2021 - Email Geeks

What the experts say

Email deliverability experts highlight that small complaint spikes in Google Postmaster Tools (GPT), even without recent sends, are often a consequence of how spam rates are calculated at low volumes. They emphasize that Google's data can lag significantly, and historical email interactions can trigger these spikes. Experts advise against over-analyzing every single spike, instead recommending a focus on long-term trends and ensuring all sending sources associated with a domain are properly managed and authenticated. The primary concern should be consistent inbox placement and recipient engagement, rather than isolated anomalies in GPT.

What the experts say

Expert view

Expert from Email Geeks suggests that periods of no or very little mail sending can still lead to complaint spikes depending on how Google Postmaster Tools calculates its arithmetic. For example, a small number of complaints against a negligible volume of active emails can appear as a large percentage.

21 Jan 2021 - Email Geeks

Expert view

Expert from Email Geeks explains that just because you haven't sent emails recently, it doesn't mean a subscriber isn't complaining about an old email. This behavior occurs more often than one might think.

21 Jan 2021 - Email Geeks

What the documentation says

Official documentation and industry research consistently highlight that Google Postmaster Tools (GPT) provides aggregate data, not real-time or granular insights. The spam rate displayed is often a reflection of messages authenticated by DKIM with your domain and delivered to active Gmail inboxes. It's a key indicator of recipient feedback, but its daily fluctuations, especially during low sending periods, are a known characteristic rather than necessarily a sign of immediate crisis. The underlying principle is that Google's systems are designed to identify patterns of abuse and adapt to protect users, so isolated spikes need to be considered in the broader context of long-term sending reputation.

Technical article

Google documentation highlights that Postmaster Tools data, including spam rates, can be a few days behind real-time sending. This lag means that a spam spike observed today might originate from emails sent on a previous day, making it crucial to consider the delay when interpreting the data.

22 Mar 2025 - Customer.io

Technical article

The Iterable blog states that as of 2025, Google Postmaster Tools added threshold lines to help senders easily visualize whether their spam rate complies with or violates established guidelines, providing clearer indicators for reputation management.

22 Mar 2025 - Iterable

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