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Why is there a sudden spike in Gmail 'mailbox full' bounces since August 2024?

Summary

Since August 2024, many email senders have reported a significant and abnormal increase in 'mailbox full' bounce messages from Gmail addresses. This widespread issue has affected various sending platforms and IPs, pointing towards a systemic change rather than isolated incidents specific to individual senders. The bounces are frequently accompanied by the SMTP error code 554-5.4.7, which often includes a transient 452-4.2.2 message indicating insufficient storage space. This problem has led to frustration among email marketers and deliverability professionals who previously saw successful deliveries to these same addresses, sometimes just days before the bounces began. Understanding the core reasons for these bounces is crucial for maintaining healthy email sending practices.

What email marketers say

Email marketers have widely reported a dramatic increase in 'mailbox full' bounces from Gmail accounts since August 2024, causing significant disruptions to their campaigns. Many note that these bounces affect previously engaged subscribers across multiple email service providers and sending infrastructures, highlighting the systemic nature of the issue. The common understanding amongst marketers is that Google has enacted a stricter enforcement of mailbox quotas, leading to a surge in these errors. The challenge for marketers lies in effectively managing these new bounce patterns, particularly when addresses might bounce inconsistently or when the 'mailbox full' error reflects overall Google storage rather than just email capacity. This necessitates a re-evaluation of current bounce handling and suppression strategies to maintain healthy sender reputation and avoid unnecessary hard bounces.

Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks notes an abnormally high bounce rate for 'mailbox full' from Gmail since last Friday, questioning if it's a general trend or an isolated issue.

18 Aug 2024 - Email Geeks

Marketer view

Email marketer from WPFunnels explains that hard bounces indicate permanent delivery issues with a recipient's address, which can occur when an email address no longer exists.

22 Jan 2025 - WPFunnels

What the experts say

Email deliverability experts highlight that the recent increase in Gmail 'mailbox full' bounces is likely a result of Google's stricter enforcement of their storage policies, which now encompasses all Google services tied to a user's account. They emphasize the distinction between a deferral (temporary issue) and a hard bounce (permanent failure), noting that many ESPs may be misclassifying these new 'mailbox full' deferrals. Experts advise focusing on the history of bouncing addresses, suggesting that prolonged inactivity or non-email data (like photos or documents) filling up storage could be key factors. They caution against immediate permanent suppression for 'mailbox full' errors, advocating for careful analysis and a nuanced approach to bounce management to avoid mistakenly removing active subscribers. Ultimately, their perspective points to an evolving landscape where senders must adapt to Gmail's consolidated storage limits and refine their bounce handling protocols.

Expert view

Email expert from Email Geeks suggests reviewing the history of email addresses before they started bouncing to identify any patterns or changes in engagement.

18 Aug 2024 - Email Geeks

Expert view

Deliverability expert from Spam Resource advises that 'mailbox full' is a temporary bounce and senders should retry the address rather than immediately removing it from their list, to avoid losing active subscribers.

Aug 2024 - Spam Resource

What the documentation says

Technical documentation from various sources, including Google's own support pages and SMTP RFCs, provides a foundational understanding of email bounce messages and their implications. The core issue of 'mailbox full' bounces is generally categorized as a soft bounce or transient failure, indicating a temporary condition that should ideally resolve itself with retries. However, the recent spike in Gmail suggests a more rigid application of existing quota rules. Documentation on SMTP error codes distinguishes between temporary failures (4xx) and permanent failures (5xx), which is critical for ESPs and senders to correctly interpret bounce messages. Furthermore, information regarding Google's unified storage policy clarifies that Gmail storage is not isolated but part of a larger ecosystem, where other Google services (Drive, Photos) contribute to the overall quota, potentially leading to 'mailbox full' errors even if the email inbox itself appears empty.

Technical article

Google documentation states that the 'recipient's inbox is out of storage space' and directs users to their support page for temporary over-quota issues, confirming the meaning of the 452 4.2.2 error code.

Aug 2024 - Google Support

Technical article

MailBluster documentation describes hard bounces as permanent delivery failures, noting that a consistently full mailbox can eventually lead to a hard bounce classification if left unaddressed.

Jan 2025 - MailBluster

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